The hottest macroeconomic heat index fell below th

2022-08-16
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The macroeconomic heat index fell below the critical value for the first time in two years

the macroeconomic heat index fell below the critical value for the first time in two years

China Construction machinery information

Guide: 56% of bankers expect that the monetary policy will remain at an appropriate level in the next quarter, and the proportion of entrepreneurs with appropriate loans is expected to be 60.3% in the next quarter. The fourth quarter national banker questionnaire released by the central bank recently shows that the macroeconomic heat index continues to decline, For the first time in two years, it fell below the critical value of 50%, which was 4

56% of bankers expect that the monetary policy will maintain an appropriate level in the next quarter, and the proportion of entrepreneurs with "appropriate" loans in the next quarter is expected to be 60.3%

the fourth quarter national banker questionnaire survey released by the central bank recently shows that the macroeconomic heat index continues to decline, and for the first time in two years, the high-temperature film-forming process is required to fall below the critical value of 50%, which is 48%. The expected index of corporate loan satisfaction ended the decline since last year, rising 0.4 percentage points to 31.4% in this quarter compared with the previous quarter. For monetary policy in the next quarter, 56% of bankers are expected to maintain a moderate level, up 13.9 percentage points from the previous quarter

the survey results show that the macroeconomic heat index continues to decline, falling below the threshold of 50% for the first time in two years, to 48%. Among them, the proportion of bankers who believe that the current macro-economy is "cold" is 23.6%, an increase of 11.8 percentage points over the previous quarter; The proportion of bankers who considered "normal" was 56.9%, up 4.4 percentage points from the previous quarter; For the economic operation trend in the next quarter, 22.9% of bankers are expected to be "cold", and 61.8% of bankers are expected to be "normal" in the next quarter. The macroeconomic confidence index of bankers increased by 4.4 percentage points to 59.3% over the previous quarter

the survey results of entrepreneurs in the fourth quarter released by the central bank on the same day showed that the macro-economic heat index of entrepreneurs continued to decline, falling 6 percentage points to 41.7% this quarter compared with the previous quarter, and has been below the boom threshold of 50% for two consecutive quarters. In terms of proportion, the proportion of entrepreneurs who believe that the macroeconomic situation is "cold" is 24.8%, up 6.7 percentage points from the previous quarter, while entrepreneurs who believe that the macroeconomic situation is "normal" continued to decline to 67.1% from 74.3% in the first quarter of this year, with a cumulative decline of 7.2 percentage points. The entrepreneur confidence index was 68.4%, down 1.8 percentage points from the previous quarter

the banking boom index was 85.4%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous quarter; The bank profit index was 90.4%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous quarter; The diffusion index reflecting the competitiveness of banks was 66.9%, slightly down 0.3 percentage points from the previous quarter

the bank loan demand index was 79.9%, down 3 percentage points from the previous quarter. In terms of industries, the loan demand indexes of agriculture, manufacturing and non manufacturing were 64.6%, 73.3% and 67.1% respectively, down 1.3, 1.9 and 3.2 percentage points from the previous quarter, and the demand indexes of real estate and construction were 56.5% and 58.5% respectively, down 4.2 and 2.8 percentage points from the previous quarter; According to the size of enterprises, the loan demand of large, medium and small enterprises fell compared with the previous quarter. The questionnaire reflects the main reasons for the change of loan demand in this quarter: the first place is the change of market demand (accounting for 83.3%), the second place is the change of macroeconomic policy, which focuses on the testing customization of firmness (accounting for 78.7%), and the third place is the change of deposit and loan interest rates (accounting for 23.8%)

the bankers' perception index of monetary policy in this quarter (the proportion of bankers who choose "moderate" monetary policy) was 42.7%, up 7 percentage points from the previous quarter. For monetary policy in the next quarter, 56% of bankers are expected to maintain a moderate level, up 13.9 percentage points from the previous quarter; 14.1. 4% of bankers who did not put the jaw right when clamping expected to "loosen", an increase of 10.9 percentage points over the previous quarter; 29.6% of bankers expected to "tighten", down 24.8 percentage points from the previous quarter

the questionnaire survey results of entrepreneurs also showed that the purchase price index of raw materials and the comprehensive price index of means of production continued to decline sharply on the basis of the high drop in the previous quarter, falling by 8.2 and 7.1 percentage points to 68.2% and 68.6% respectively compared with the previous quarter

the export order index was 48.7%, down 2.9 percentage points from the previous quarter, falling below 50% for the first time since the fourth quarter of 2009; The expected index of enterprise export orders was 49%, down 3.4 percentage points from the previous quarter. The domestic order index was 53.2%, down 2.1 percentage points from the previous quarter, falling for four consecutive quarters; The expected index of domestic orders was 52.5%, down 4 percentage points from the previous quarter

the business climate index was 67.5%, down 1.8 percentage points from the previous quarter as long as these factors were overcome

the enterprise loan satisfaction index was 30.5%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous quarter; The expected index of loan satisfaction ended its decline since last year, rising 0.4 percentage points to 31.4% in this quarter compared with the previous quarter. The proportion of entrepreneurs with "moderate" loans is expected to be 60.3% in the next quarter, up 1.2 percentage points from the previous quarter

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